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Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?: Will Svetlana Čulkova become Prime Minister of Latvia following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

No99%
Svetlana Čulkova1%

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ResolvesOct 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 18Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Svetlana Čulkova becomes Prime Minister of Latvia as a result of government formation following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to Latvia’s constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the Saeima, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms before Oct 3, 2027, or new elections are called before government formation, all listed markets resolve No. If an unlisted person qualifies first, all listed markets resolve No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC