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Launceston mayoral election winner?: Will Rose Diamond win the 2026 Launceston mayoral election?

No94%
Rose Diamond6%

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24h volume$18
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesDec 15, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 19Sep 23Sep 27Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Rose Diamond wins the 2026 Launceston mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Oct 1, 03:29 PM UTC