KalshiResolved

Top Coding AI this week? Claude

No87%
Claude13%

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24h volume$0
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ResolvesSep 21, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 14, 09:00 PMSep 15, 11:24 AMSep 16, 01:48 AMSep 16, 04:12 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 21, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Top Coding AI this week? ChatGPTKalshi99% ChatGPTOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 12:56 PM UTC