Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

No100%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #2 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve from Google’s official 2026 Global “People” ranking, though Polymarket explicitly provides a fallback if the list is not released by March 31, 2027, while Kalshi’s published criteria do not specify such a fallback. Polymarket’s outcomes are Yes/No, while Kalshi labels the affirmative outcome with the person’s name.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

    This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #2 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

    9 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 05:07 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    #2 Most Searched Person on Google in 2026?: Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

    If Timothée Chalamet is #2 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the individual ranked #2 in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2026 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Google. Any references to Google, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Google and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC

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Venue activity

Holders9
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 99% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966115715365646107513664856187603057023259121309705118274113964646454745540756204
  • jackli00398786637113005171384195210962382830213588718719574461638672623643095188805689
  • Anjun98786637113005171384195210962382830213588718719574461638672623643095188805689
  • 0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d3398786637113005171384195210962382830213588718719574461638672623643095188805689
  • JusduA98786637113005171384195210962382830213588718719574461638672623643095188805689

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As of Sep 29, 11:02 PM UTC