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I bond fixed rate in November 2026: Will the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds for November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027 be above 1.4%?

No97%
Above 1.4%3%

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24h volume$0
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Spread5%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 14Sep 18Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued. It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate. The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding. Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered

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As of Sep 29, 11:14 PM UTC