Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
On September 10, 2026, OpenAI paused new subscriptions and upgrades to the ChatGPT Pro 20x plan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resumes new subscriptions to the ChatGPT Pro 20x plan for US customers by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Subscriptions will be considered resumed when that plan is again generally available for purchase by new subscribers in the United States through the company's official channels. The availability of any other plan, including the ChatGPT Pro or Pro 5x plans, will not qualify. Resumption of upgrades for existing ChatGPT subscribers without new sign-ups will not qualify. A qualifying plan must be the called "Pro 20x" or otherwise confirmed to be the same plan as the ChatGPT Pro 20x Plan by a consensus of credible reporting. Private access limited to selected users or groups of users, a waitlist, or an invitation will not qualify. A change to the plan's name or price will not affect resolution, provided it remains OpenAI's highest-usage ChatGPT Pro tier. Unavailability in particular states resulting from legal or regulatory requirements will not prevent a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be OpenAI's official purchasing channels; however, official communications from the company's representatives or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 85% Yes | Open |
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC