OpinionOpen

Will Polymarket launch its own L2 (“POLY”) by ... — September 30, 2026

No100%
Yes22%

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24h volume$833.3
7d volume$833.3
30d volume—
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ResolvesSep 30, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Resolution Source(s): Polymarket’s official communications: https://x.com/Polymarket Public, independently verifiable network evidence (e.g., a public block explorer / public RPC endpoints) confirming the existence of a live network branded/announced as Polymarket’s own L2. Resolution Criteria: This market resolves Yes if, on or before [DATE] 23:59 UTC, Polymarket has launched a public mainnet of its own Ethereum Layer 2 network (commonly referred to as “POLY” or an equivalent official name). “Public mainnet” means (i) Polymarket publicly announces the L2 mainnet launch as its own network, and (ii) the network is publicly accessible (public RPC or official access instructions) with ongoing block production that can be independently verified (e.g., via a block explorer or equivalent onchain evidence). This market resolves No if the above conditions are not met by [DATE] 23:59 UTC. Clarifications / Edge Cases: Testnets, devnets, private/invite-only launches, or “announced plans” without a publicly verifiable mainnet do not count as a launch. If the network is launched but not explicitly branded “POLY,” it still counts only if Polymarket officially states it is Polymarket’s own L2 mainnet. If sources conflict, Polymarket’s official announcement takes precedence, provided it is consistent with publicly verifiable network evidence.

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As of Oct 1, 05:59 PM UTC