Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $500M

No91%
Yes5%

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24h volume$66.7
7d volume$66.7
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

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  • Opinionthis market

    Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $500M

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

    read Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    369 holders · 303 comments · read Sep 28, 07:43 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $25MOpinion99% YesOpen
Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $100MOpinion95% NoOpen
Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $200MOpinion100% NoOpen
Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $50MOpinion60% NoOpen
Probable FDV above ... one day after launch — $150MOpinion96% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
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Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid — · best ask 96%

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As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC