Brazil Presidential Election — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil Presidential Election — Flávio Bolsonaro | Opinion | 90% Yes | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Fernando Haddad | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Romeu Zema | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Renan Santos | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Ronaldo Caiado | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Camilo Santana | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Jair Bolsonaro | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Geraldo Alckmin | Opinion | — | Open |
| Brazil Presidential Election — Aldo Rebelo | Opinion | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 hours agoBest bid — · best ask —
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 08:33 AM UTC