Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 55% Yes | Open |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Polymarket | 59% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:11 PM UTC