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Idaho Senate election: Todd Achilles vote percent: Will Todd Achilles receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?

At least 30%94%
No6%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 27

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Todd Achilles in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Todd Achilles ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Oct 24, 04:33 PM UTC