KalshiOpen

Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?

At least 64%61%
No39%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 21Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Brad Little in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Brad Little ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Brad Little receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi95% At least 52%Open
Will Brad Little receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi87% At least 54%Open
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi62% At least 56%Open
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi52% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi63% NoOpen
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent: Will Brad Little receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Will Brad Little receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Kalshi97% At least 50%Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:28 PM UTC