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CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent: Will Linda Sánchez receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?

No97%
At least 72%4%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12, 11:56 AMSep 12, 07:28 PMSep 13, 03:01 AMSep 13, 10:34 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Linda Sánchez in the 2026 CA-41 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Linda Sánchez ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC