KalshiOpen

Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?

No71%

At least 38%29%

Price checked at Oct 2, 12:54 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Trygve Hammer in the 2026 ND-AL House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Trygve Hammer ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	58% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	70% At least 32%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	56% At least 34%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	81% At least 30%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Trygve Hammer receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 ND-AL House election?	Kalshi	89% At least 28%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 01:24 AM UTC