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SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent: Will Margo Ellis receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?

No93%
At least 3%7%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Margo Ellis in the 2026 SC-01 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Margo Ellis ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 11:10 PM UTC