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TX-29 House election: Sylvia Garcia vote percent: Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?

No94%
At least 80%6%

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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 21Sep 25Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sylvia Garcia in the 2026 TX-29 House election is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Sylvia Garcia ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 10:18 PM UTC