KalshiOpen

Will Justin Early receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?

At least 34%91%

No9%

Price checked at Oct 2, 04:01 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Justin Early in the 2026 TX-31 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Justin Early ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Justin Early receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	76% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	52% At least 42%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	62% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	65% At least 40%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	76% At least 38%	$0	—	—	Open
Will Justin Early receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-31 House election?	Kalshi	84% At least 36%	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 04:18 AM UTC