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Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September (YoY)?: Will core CPI inflation exceed headline CPI inflation for September 2026? In September 2026

No55%
In September 202645%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread30%
ResolvesOct 14, 2026in 15 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 21Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution. For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.

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As of Sep 30, 04:41 AM UTC