KalshiDelisted

Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?

At least 42%96%
No4%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 15Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Jolly in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by David Jolly ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi59% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi88% At least 44%Open
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi52% NoOpen
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi96% At least 40%Open
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Kalshi97% At least 38%Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:25 PM UTC