KalshiOpen

Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?

At least 64%56%
No44%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wes Moore in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wes Moore ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi54% At least 66%Open
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi83% At least 60%Open
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi90% At least 58%Open
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi73% At least 62%Open
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi68% NoOpen
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent: Will Wes Moore receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Kalshi91% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:48 PM UTC