KalshiOpen

Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?

At least 40%89%
No11%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 21Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Gina Hinojosa ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi66% At least 46%Open
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi80% At least 44%Open
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi60% NoOpen
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi95% At least 42%Open
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi99% At least 38%Open
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent: Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Kalshi99% At least 36%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 08:08 AM UTC