Will Richard Pan receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Richard Pan in the 2026 CA-06 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Richard Pan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 58% No | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 74% No | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 75% At least 54% | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 59% At least 56% | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 94% At least 50% | Open |
| CA-06 House election: Richard Pan vote percent: Will Richard Pan receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 97% At least 48% | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 86% At least 52% | Open |
| Will Richard Pan receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election? | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
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As of Oct 1, 11:42 PM UTC