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CA-45 House election: Chuong Vo vote percent: Will Chuong Vo receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?

At least 34%97%
No4%

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Spread5%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 16Sep 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chuong Vo in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chuong Vo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC