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CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent: Will Wayne Thornton receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?

No98%
At least 4%2%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wayne Thornton in the 2026 CO-04 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wayne Thornton ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC