Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Manny Rutinel in the 2026 CO-08 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Manny Rutinel ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 93% No | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 86% No | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 61% At least 52% | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 81% No | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 94% At least 46% | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 76% At least 50% | Open |
| Will Manny Rutinel receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-08 House election? | Kalshi | 85% At least 48% | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 11:34 PM UTC