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GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?

At least 14%94%
No7%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Duffie in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election is 14% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by James Duffie ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi82% NoOpen
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi70% NoOpen
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi55% NoOpen
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi76% At least 18%Open
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi62% At least 20%Open
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi87% At least 16%Open
GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round): Will James Duffie receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 05:51 AM UTC