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KY-03 House election: Morgan McGarvey vote percent: Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?

No99%
At least 74%2%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12, 12:13 AMSep 12, 04:24 AMSep 12, 08:35 AMSep 12, 12:47 PM

No recorded data before Sep 12 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Morgan McGarvey in the 2026 KY-03 House election is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Morgan McGarvey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 09:20 PM UTC