KalshiOpen

LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?

No86%
At least 78%14%

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24h volume$207
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread25%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Carter in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Carter ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi65% NoOpen
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi83% NoOpen
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi82% At least 70%Open
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi61% At least 74%Open
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round): Will Troy Carter receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?Kalshi67% At least 72%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC