KalshiOpen

LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?

At least 60%51%
No49%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 21Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Clay Higgins in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Clay Higgins ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi71% NoOpen
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi82% NoOpen
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi55% At least 62%Open
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi69% At least 58%Open
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi81% At least 56%Open
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round): Will Clay Higgins receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Kalshi93% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 03:52 AM UTC