KalshiOpen

MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?

No93%
At least 38%7%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jordan Herrera in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jordan Herrera ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi74% At least 32%Open
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi87% At least 30%Open
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi82% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi53% At least 34%Open
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi66% NoOpen
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent: Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi95% At least 28%Open
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Kalshi97% At least 26%Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC