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MO-06 House election: Chris Stigall vote percent: Will Chris Stigall receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?

At least 52%94%
No6%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chris Stigall in the 2026 MO-06 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chris Stigall ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 10:56 PM UTC