KalshiOpen

MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?

No76%
At least 40%25%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Smead in the 2026 MO-06 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Josh Smead ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi84% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi58% At least 34%Open
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi72% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi69% NoOpen
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent: Will Josh Smead receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi70% At least 32%Open
Will Josh Smead receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi80% At least 30%Open
Will Josh Smead receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi88% At least 28%Open
Will Josh Smead receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Kalshi94% At least 26%Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC