KalshiDelisted

NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?

No96%
At least 52%4%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12, 12:06 AMSep 12, 11:29 AMSep 12, 10:52 PMSep 13, 10:16 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael LiPetri Jr. in the 2026 NY-03 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael LiPetri Jr. ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Michael LiPetri Jr. across all certified ballot lines are combined.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi92% NoOpen
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi62% NoOpen
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi68% At least 42%Open
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi79% NoOpen
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi54% At least 44%Open
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi87% At least 38%Open
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi93% At least 36%Open
NY-03 House election: Michael LiPetri Jr. vote percent: Will Michael LiPetri Jr. receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Kalshi79% At least 40%Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 05:17 AM UTC