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NY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent: Will Hakeem Jeffries receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-08 House election?

At least 70%96%
No5%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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Spread7%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 13Sep 15Sep 17Sep 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Hakeem Jeffries in the 2026 NY-08 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Hakeem Jeffries ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Hakeem Jeffries across all certified ballot lines are combined.

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As of Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC