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NC-02 House election: Gene Douglass vote percent: Will Gene Douglass receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-02 House election?

At least 22%96%
No4%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 13Sep 15Sep 17Sep 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Gene Douglass in the 2026 NC-02 House election is 22% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Gene Douglass ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 11:47 PM UTC