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OK-03 House election: Frank Lucas vote percent: Will Frank Lucas receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-03 House election?

No50%
At least 70%50%

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24h volume$4
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread5%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 12Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Frank Lucas in the 2026 OK-03 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Frank Lucas ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC