KalshiOpen

PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?

No51%
At least 32%49%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nicholas Manganaro in the 2026 PA-05 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Nicholas Manganaro ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi80% NoOpen
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi71% At least 30%Open
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi78% At least 28%Open
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi88% At least 26%Open
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi66% NoOpen
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi89% NoOpen
PA-05 House election: Nicholas Manganaro vote percent: Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?Kalshi95% At least 24%Open

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As of Sep 30, 02:28 PM UTC