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PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent: Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?

At least 28%95%
No5%

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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 13Sep 14Sep 16Sep 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Alan Bradstock in the 2026 PA-14 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Alan Bradstock ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC