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SC-02 House election: Joe Wilson vote percent: Will Joe Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?

At least 48%95%
No5%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Joe Wilson in the 2026 SC-02 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Joe Wilson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 11:25 PM UTC