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SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent: Will William Timmons receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?

No94%
At least 64%7%

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Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by William Timmons in the 2026 SC-04 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by William Timmons ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 10:37 PM UTC