Will Tom Sell receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Sell in the 2026 TX-19 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tom Sell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 88% No | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 65% No | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 78% No | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 66% At least 68% | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 80% At least 66% | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 89% At least 64% | Open |
| Will Tom Sell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election? | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 12:48 AM UTC