KalshiOpen

TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?

No88%
At least 34%13%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Patrick Gillespie in the 2026 TX-33 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Patrick Gillespie ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi78% NoOpen
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi64% NoOpen
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi67% At least 26%Open
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi52% At least 28%Open
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi81% At least 24%Open
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi90% At least 22%Open
TX-33 House election: Patrick Gillespie vote percent: Will Patrick Gillespie receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-33 House election?Kalshi95% At least 20%Open

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As of Sep 30, 06:42 AM UTC