KalshiOpen

VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?

At least 78%57%
No43%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Don Beyer in the 2026 VA-08 House election is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Don Beyer ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi80% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi87% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi92% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi67% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi91% At least 70%Open
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi91% At least 72%Open
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi59% At least 76%Open
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent: Will Don Beyer receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi82% At least 74%Open
Will Don Beyer receive at least 92% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will Don Beyer receive at least 90% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will Don Beyer receive at least 88% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:31 PM UTC