KalshiOpen

VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?

At least 18%67%
No33%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 16Sep 20Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tony Sabio in the 2026 VA-08 House election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tony Sabio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi59% At least 20%Open
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi83% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi70% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi52% NoOpen
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent: Will Tony Sabio receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi58% At least 14%Open
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% At least 10%Open
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% At least 12%Open
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Kalshi97% At least 8%Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:13 PM UTC