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Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?: Will Die Linke receive at least 16% of valid second votes in the 2026 Berlin state election?

At least 16%95%
No5%

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24h volume$0
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Spread8%
ResolvesNov 20, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by Die Linke in the 2026 Berlin state election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator. Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow. If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.

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As of Sep 30, 04:53 AM UTC