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Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?: Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027? Yes

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

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Spread4%

ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Department of Justice announces a fine or civil/criminal monetary penalty imposed on Nvidia, or agreed to by Nvidia in a settlement, concerning the Groq licensing deal announced on December 24, 2025 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An agreed settlement can qualify before court approval. Investigations, information demands, subpoenas, civil investigative demands, requests for penalties, statements about possible future fines, nonmonetary relief, and unrelated fines do NOT count.

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As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC