Will the Swiss National Bank cut 1-25bps at the September monetary policy assessment?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of cut 1-25bps at September monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the September monetary policy assessment? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the Swiss National Bank maintain current rate at the September monetary policy assessment? | Kalshi | 99% Maintain current rate | Open |
| Will the Swiss National Bank cut more than 25bps at the September monetary policy assessment? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the September monetary policy assessment? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 01:22 AM UTC