KalshiOpen

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? Before Oct 16, 2026

No76%
Before Oct 16, 202624%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 20Sep 25Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? Before Oct 1, 2026Kalshi99% NoOpen
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? Before Nov 1, 2026Kalshi66% Before Nov 1, 2026Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 04:25 AM UTC