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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent: Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?

No95%
At least 35%5%

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ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 19Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Alani Bankhead in the 2026 Montana Senate election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Alani Bankhead ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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As of Sep 29, 08:35 PM UTC