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Poland rate decision in October: Will Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting? Maintain current rate

Maintain current rate92%
No8%

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24h volume$430.2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 14Sep 19Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC